Gleaner's Lasmay strikes again lol
Well since may last sojourn in this series I am left even more befuddled than before and as for my vote and who should get it as I am just not sure; the Cameron prison deal or no deal paranoia has died down (another nine day wonder?); analysts are now rubbishing the polls and their supposed strangeness which I alluded to in part 6. The 50/50 tie as its hinted in both the Bill Johnson and Don Anderson polls may suggest that the JLP may also get more seats as garrisons make up more for the PNP than JLP; Mrs Simpson Miller’s own South St Andrew seat had 95% vote, Omar Davies’ constituency as well gets over 90% turnout and Tivoli Gardens especially in the last elections it was down when compared to previous years to 84%. More votes may come for the JLP from middle class or domicile geographies such as Portmore although the PNP control the parish council or the local levels. PNP has six hard core garrisons while the JLP has 3 if the PNP wins we may end up again with a garrison government in power as the hard core supporters while the other masses stay away in even larger numbers each cycle.
Dr Paul Ashley political analyst
Political Analyst, Dr. Paul Ashley is raising questions about the reliability of recent political polls.
The Gleaner newspaper has been publishing the results of polls done by its in-house researcher Bill Johnson, while the RJR Group have been broadcasting the results of work done by its pollster, Don Anderson.
The Bill Johnson polls show a massive decline in support for PNP leader Portia Simpson Miller.
While the Don Anderson polls show both parties in a statistical dead heat for the popular vote.
The RJR-Don Anderson poll shows the PNP and JLP deadlocked at 30-percent.
Dr. Ashley says he finds this very strange, especially when compared to the parties’ polling numbers just before the 2011 general election. And Dr. Ashley is adding a note of caution about the reliability of the polls in predicting a general election outcome.
He notes that Jamaica operates a first-past-the-post system, which means the party that wins the most constituency seats will form the government.
Therefore, polls that measure the popular vote may be unreliable, since under Jamaica’s system, a party can win the popular vote but lose the election.
There is a narrative though not loud that is breaking through the noise and the shouting matches suggesting the PNP should be left in office to continue the repair job of the mess that they made over the 18 year run they had under Perceval James Patterson aka PJ and the economic, the FINSAC (financial sector company designed to managed the fallout) which to date we are still seeing the after effects of suicide and lives interrupted.
The argument about the hidden agenda by LGBT groups as promulgated by some hidden hands from the United States and the United Kingdom has all but disappeared post the Cameron visit and the continued abhorrence to his forget slavery as he suggested in the house while he spoke rages on.
The Caribbean Court of Justice debate had commenced and the expected hardened positions and persons disagreeing on it claiming politicization when the senators 21 of them who in essence are not elected but are to decide the final court and that has had some people up in arms coupled with calls for the repair of our own creaking court and justice systems overall. Cases that take forever to get off the ground; overcrowded prisons and lockups; expensive costs to retain attorneys and such and the physical outlay of buildings is another matter. I can remember the incident some time ago of a section of the Supreme Court downtown; repeated closures of other parish buildings and even one case where a newly completed construction ended up with several faults and leaks. The calls for a referendum on the CCJ as our final court is getting louder again and is also being twinned with the suggested buggery review especially by anti homosexual/buggery law reform voice such as The Jamaica Coalition for a Healthy Society, JCHS; Jamaica CAUSE and Lawyers’ Christian Fellowship, LCF. The trick is that if the CCJ goes to a referendum which is also supported by the government in waiting Jamaica Labour Party, JLP then the buggery review cannot be opposed or should be automatic to resolve what are often described as controversial matters.
The JLP though as far as I have seen and heard has not said they would run a referendum if they get back into power. A fear of losing seems to be the reason why some oppose the idea as the last one some 54 years ago people are nervous; reasons for a referendum for some is that the people should have a say as it is too controversial an issue. Voting along party lines will only leave us back at square one. This stain against the highest court in the land after such a so called politicization of the issue is my worry and why a secret allot suggestion by some? Besides it is politicians who will be left to decide so by default it is politicized and then the aftermath of the undated resignation letters fiasco on the part of the JLP is coming back as a challenging issue in terms of integrity and or ethics.
Some have suggested a rigorous public education campaign barring any pro or against advertisements or campaigns by the parties. Having a CCJ would damage foreign investments to Jamaica! I am not so sure as that is also being used as an argument not to switch from the UK based privy council. What explains the increase in FDI in Barbados after they adopted the CCJ as their final court then? As hinted to by the manufacturers or private sector association. Guyana has also seen a steady increase in FDI since their joining the CCJ since 2005. I still think our local system requires major improvements prior to looking outside.
see: Minister of Justice’s Senate Presentation in Support of CCJ Bills JIS
On the matter of crime wasn’t it Bunting who said after the whole Dudus Coke affair and extradition that crime would go down since he was so powerful in his network but now we see Bunting is made out to be a fool in essence and incapable of managing this monster; that hint to Bebe’s murder and lotto scamming as if his party is not aligned to him as he was a youth leader and vice president of that region yet everybody knew what Bebe was into as if one cannot feed the boys with steady cash then things will happen, simply put and his murder was NOT a homophobic killing as postured by some foolhardy so called activists who do not live here anymore.
The Prime Minister’s Heroes Day Message was not inspiring at all and sounded so rehearsed or just a teleprompter read for protocol as her delivery didn’t seem to inspire albeit she reached out to the other racial identities here and suggested her government must remain in power to continue what she terms as development for all. Andrew Holness’ message was also not so hot to me or I am wondering if it was due to the hour of the morning I digested it as I was at an event hours before doing DJ duties so I was a bit luggy. The choices are beginning to not look like much to choose from at all from the two evils and where are the other parties or names? And what does Mr Holness means by skewed morality? I hope he is not hinting to homosexuality or the push for buggery law reform.
Meanwhile that Moore matter in Portland is of interest as although she won the representation challenge by eight votes she is being put down in a democratic process that is held up as an example where delegates choose who is worthy yet she (Moore) and the delegates are told by Hope Road no way and this has not gone down well for some; a group has since emerged appealing to the party’s president but she also chairs the same structure that overturned the delegate’s wishes. These side shows may seem not important to the rest of us in other parishes but it reflects leadership is of the utmost here and a finger in the face of the structures is of concern.
The argument about the hidden agenda by LGBT groups as promulgated by some hidden hands from the United States and the United Kingdom has all but disappeared post the Cameron visit and the continued abhorrence to his forget slavery as he suggested in the house while he spoke rages on.
The Caribbean Court of Justice debate had commenced and the expected hardened positions and persons disagreeing on it claiming politicization when the senators 21 of them who in essence are not elected but are to decide the final court and that has had some people up in arms coupled with calls for the repair of our own creaking court and justice systems overall. Cases that take forever to get off the ground; overcrowded prisons and lockups; expensive costs to retain attorneys and such and the physical outlay of buildings is another matter. I can remember the incident some time ago of a section of the Supreme Court downtown; repeated closures of other parish buildings and even one case where a newly completed construction ended up with several faults and leaks. The calls for a referendum on the CCJ as our final court is getting louder again and is also being twinned with the suggested buggery review especially by anti homosexual/buggery law reform voice such as The Jamaica Coalition for a Healthy Society, JCHS; Jamaica CAUSE and Lawyers’ Christian Fellowship, LCF. The trick is that if the CCJ goes to a referendum which is also supported by the government in waiting Jamaica Labour Party, JLP then the buggery review cannot be opposed or should be automatic to resolve what are often described as controversial matters.
The JLP though as far as I have seen and heard has not said they would run a referendum if they get back into power. A fear of losing seems to be the reason why some oppose the idea as the last one some 54 years ago people are nervous; reasons for a referendum for some is that the people should have a say as it is too controversial an issue. Voting along party lines will only leave us back at square one. This stain against the highest court in the land after such a so called politicization of the issue is my worry and why a secret allot suggestion by some? Besides it is politicians who will be left to decide so by default it is politicized and then the aftermath of the undated resignation letters fiasco on the part of the JLP is coming back as a challenging issue in terms of integrity and or ethics.
Some have suggested a rigorous public education campaign barring any pro or against advertisements or campaigns by the parties. Having a CCJ would damage foreign investments to Jamaica! I am not so sure as that is also being used as an argument not to switch from the UK based privy council. What explains the increase in FDI in Barbados after they adopted the CCJ as their final court then? As hinted to by the manufacturers or private sector association. Guyana has also seen a steady increase in FDI since their joining the CCJ since 2005. I still think our local system requires major improvements prior to looking outside.
see: Minister of Justice’s Senate Presentation in Support of CCJ Bills JIS
On the matter of crime wasn’t it Bunting who said after the whole Dudus Coke affair and extradition that crime would go down since he was so powerful in his network but now we see Bunting is made out to be a fool in essence and incapable of managing this monster; that hint to Bebe’s murder and lotto scamming as if his party is not aligned to him as he was a youth leader and vice president of that region yet everybody knew what Bebe was into as if one cannot feed the boys with steady cash then things will happen, simply put and his murder was NOT a homophobic killing as postured by some foolhardy so called activists who do not live here anymore.
Meanwhile that Moore matter in Portland is of interest as although she won the representation challenge by eight votes she is being put down in a democratic process that is held up as an example where delegates choose who is worthy yet she (Moore) and the delegates are told by Hope Road no way and this has not gone down well for some; a group has since emerged appealing to the party’s president but she also chairs the same structure that overturned the delegate’s wishes. These side shows may seem not important to the rest of us in other parishes but it reflects leadership is of the utmost here and a finger in the face of the structures is of concern.
Now we are hearing of viruses in our hospitals and deaths of newborns at Bustamante Children’s and UHWI hospitals though not a direct fault of the government but sheesh after the Chik-V mismanagement then the Ebola paranoia, an embattled health minister Dr Fenton Ferguson who seems aloof or out of touch with his mandate is trying to speak to the issues after the report was carried on Nationwide radio yet why was the principals of the ministry were seemingly unaware of the matters and that senior doctors who did not want to go on record thought it necessary to go to a media entity instead of the internal channels. Ferguson seems so incapable of handling his ministry and opposition spokesperson Marlene Malaboo Forte has pounced but I am sorry as her strength being a former Resident Magistrate Judge is law not health. What about that so called audit that showed there were serious challenges in hospitals in management of issues and a culture of shutting down issues when they arise and hope they go away and is a dangerous way of handling public health information. But then again we have a nine day wonder culture as well which only enhances this culture of secrecy and hiding; just as in our own LGBT advocacy and the ugly business of homelessness and their failure to address it properly.
So many distractions attend for me to have a sit down and contemplate the real issues versus side shows and stunts as to our national developments; we are told of logistics hubs when all that has amounts thus far are call centres that persons with degrees have been snatching up the jobs as they cannot get anything else; those who are working and trying to maintain or improve their quality of life feel a kind of stagnation or stillness and almost indecisive as where to go next to achieve their goals and planning for the future. I hear some of my colleagues complaining or thinking out loud with pent up frustrations, I wonder.You can follow from previous parts in this series: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 & 7
So many distractions attend for me to have a sit down and contemplate the real issues versus side shows and stunts as to our national developments; we are told of logistics hubs when all that has amounts thus far are call centres that persons with degrees have been snatching up the jobs as they cannot get anything else; those who are working and trying to maintain or improve their quality of life feel a kind of stagnation or stillness and almost indecisive as where to go next to achieve their goals and planning for the future. I hear some of my colleagues complaining or thinking out loud with pent up frustrations, I wonder.You can follow from previous parts in this series: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 & 7
A recent radio barb:
Let me see what next is going to hit me.
Peace & tolerance
H
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