see also: As the JLP emerges from its conference
Jamaica’s gay and lesbian population has often been overlooked as a key voting demographic by pollsters and political parties alike, owing to legislative marginalization and incoherence as to the actual numerical composition of the group. However, a 2003 research conducted by Heather Royes: HIV/AIDS Risk Mapping Study of Men Who Have Sex With Men In Jamaica. Kingston: MOH projects that the gay male population numbers approximately 110,000 with heavy concentrations in the Kingston Metropolitan Area (inclusive of Portmore, Spanish Town and Old Harbour) and Montego Bay. Indeed, on the face of it, given the closeness of the last General Elections, the Gay Vote could determine the outcome of election results in certain key constituencies and ultimately the composition of the island’s parliament ........
In case you missed the last comments by the PM on homosexuality in Jamaica here it is:
go here if you can't see the video: Is Jamaica Homophobic, Bruce Golding's answer
Of those who voted JLP in 2007, only 46.9 per cent were ready to vote JLP again; a significant 24.6 per cent said they would not vote; 12 per cent were not sure; nine per cent said they would switch to the PNP while six per cent said they would vote for the new party.
By contrast, a whopping 69 per cent of people who voted PNP last time said they would do so again; 15 per cent would not vote; 10 per cent were not sure; five per cent would vote for the new party and only one per cent would switch to the JLP.
The numbers suggest that the PNP has held its support base. The Anderson-CVM poll of May 2007, in the run-up to the September general election showed both the JLP and the PNP at 25 per cent each, with another four per cent 'probably' leaning PNP and six per cent leaning JLP. The actual vote mirrored these findings.
Why has the JLP slipped so badly in three years as government? There are clear pointers from the latest poll.
Since the last entry on the Jamaica Labour Party's possible one term life ending in the next election, apart from the national happenings such as the current in fighting (as captioned in the cartoon above) if one can call it that and their National Conference yesterday there are other happenings in as far as Human Rights and LGBT rights are concerned.
Of note the Charter or Rights which the Prime Minister promised would have been fully implemented by now has been delayed yet again. Please bear in mind that the Charter of Rights has no language or recognition of Sexual Orientation in it's content as those were removed in a cleverly and artificially created debate on Gay Marriage to justify gays' not having any rights at all.
See the Charter of Right tab for previous entries HERE and Amendments with other related Acts:
The Charter of Rights and Freedoms (Constitutional Amendment) Act, 2010
The Constitution(Amendment) Act, 2010
The Constitution(Amendment) (No.2) Act, 2010
The Corruption Prevention (Special Prosecutor) Act, 2008 Part 1
The Corruption Prevention (Special Prosecutor) Act, 2008 Part 2
The Constitution(Amendment) Act, 2010
The Constitution(Amendment) (No.2) Act, 2010
The Corruption Prevention (Special Prosecutor) Act, 2008 Part 1
The Corruption Prevention (Special Prosecutor) Act, 2008 Part 2
The participation recently at the United Nations Assembly meeting where we sanctioned the removal of sexual orientation from the extra judicial set of principles and laws see more here:
http://gayjamaicawatch.blogspot.com/2010/11/jamaica-votes-in-favor-of-amendment-to.html
http://gayjamaicawatch.blogspot.com/2010/11/jamaica-votes-in-favor-of-amendment-to.html
bearing in mind this administration promised to seriously look at human rights for all. What a joke? see: JFJ complains gov't not taking issue seriously
The Pink Report Jamaica in a poll it conducted said:
GAY COMMUNITY STILL LOVES BRUCE:Online Poll indicates that 40% of Gays and Lesbians Back Golding they went on to say:
"......Significantly, if the poll numbers are read as being analogous or indicative of an approval rating, Golding enjoys a higher approval rating among the Gay and Lesbian population than the general population. A recent, CVM/Don Anderson poll had placed the Prime Minister’s approval ratings in the low 30s.
Jamaica’s gay and lesbian population has often been overlooked as a key voting demographic by pollsters and political parties alike, owing to legislative marginalization and incoherence as to the actual numerical composition of the group. However, a 2003 research conducted by Heather Royes: HIV/AIDS Risk Mapping Study of Men Who Have Sex With Men In Jamaica. Kingston: MOH projects that the gay male population numbers approximately 110,000 with heavy concentrations in the Kingston Metropolitan Area (inclusive of Portmore, Spanish Town and Old Harbour) and Montego Bay. Indeed, on the face of it, given the closeness of the last General Elections, the Gay Vote could determine the outcome of election results in certain key constituencies and ultimately the composition of the island’s parliament ........
The Prime Minister’s relatively strong approval ratings among the Gay community come in spite of homophobic comments attributed directly to him and the bungling of the handling of the Manatt Phillips, Dudus affair. There is nothing to indicate that the results are indicative of strong partisan support for the Jamaica Labour Party within the community, however, such analysis is not all together unlikely."
Thanks to The Pink for allowing me to publish the above caption from their blog.
Clearly LGBTQI rights and recognition are nowhere in sight anytime soon.
In case you missed the last comments by the PM on homosexuality in Jamaica here it is:
go here if you can't see the video: Is Jamaica Homophobic, Bruce Golding's answer
While the financial and fiscal situation looks good for now and with us passing the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) test for October projections and soundings from some financial experts suggest there maybe trouble ahead especially with oil prices set to go up we may not be able to hold strain for long with negative growth forecast yet again. Many persons feel disillusioned by just the rapid pace of scandal after scandal, the seeming inability of the administration to settle after more than two years in power and a Prime Minister who credibility swings like a swing song in a playpen, frankly I used to support the Jamaica Labour Party strongly from family tradition but now I am in a daze as well as Mr. Golding's utterances now when compared to his positions while he was in the National Democratic Movement are so far apart. One gets the feeling though in fairness to him that he does not have the full support of the JLP which he now heads and that they use him as he attracts support to have won the election and stay in power. They lost my support on the utterances by the Prime Minister on the invented discussion on gay marriage during the Charter of Rights Debate.
I am not sure if the JLP will stand in another election as recent polls suggest ... the CVM TV Poll conducted by Don Anderson showed the JLP trailing the Opposition People's National Party by a mile.
Read more: http://www.jamaicaobserver.com/columns/Mr-Golding-s-unenviable-challenges_8169962#ixzz162994Aqb.
PNP has commanding lead
Meanwhile, the Anderson-CVM polls show the PNP with a 10-point lead over the JLP. Asked how they would vote if the election was called now, 24.6 per cent said they would vote for the PNP while 14.5 per cent would vote for the JLP; 8.3 per cent were not sure; 6.5 per cent said they would vote for the new party recently formed by Betty-Ann Blaine and 5.3 per cent said they did not know how they would vote.
Meanwhile, the Anderson-CVM polls show the PNP with a 10-point lead over the JLP. Asked how they would vote if the election was called now, 24.6 per cent said they would vote for the PNP while 14.5 per cent would vote for the JLP; 8.3 per cent were not sure; 6.5 per cent said they would vote for the new party recently formed by Betty-Ann Blaine and 5.3 per cent said they did not know how they would vote.
Of those who voted JLP in 2007, only 46.9 per cent were ready to vote JLP again; a significant 24.6 per cent said they would not vote; 12 per cent were not sure; nine per cent said they would switch to the PNP while six per cent said they would vote for the new party.
By contrast, a whopping 69 per cent of people who voted PNP last time said they would do so again; 15 per cent would not vote; 10 per cent were not sure; five per cent would vote for the new party and only one per cent would switch to the JLP.
The numbers suggest that the PNP has held its support base. The Anderson-CVM poll of May 2007, in the run-up to the September general election showed both the JLP and the PNP at 25 per cent each, with another four per cent 'probably' leaning PNP and six per cent leaning JLP. The actual vote mirrored these findings.
Why has the JLP slipped so badly in three years as government? There are clear pointers from the latest poll.
Do you think the line is extended in the sand for the JLP now and would you vote for them?
Please see the previous entries in this series as in the LINKSWITHIN captioned below this and all posts.
Peace and tolerance
H
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